The Average Bear Market

Some interesting stats from Mark Hulbert:

The bad news: The average bear market since 1900 has lasted 410 days, according to calculations conducted by Ned Davis Research. Since 158 days have already elapsed since the bull market high on April 29, that means that — if this is a bear market and its length is precisely average — we have another 252 days to go.

That places the bottom of the bear market on June 12 of next year.

How much further down does the stock market have to go if this turns out to be an average bear market? Again according to Ned Davis Research, the average bear market loss since 1900 has been a decline of 31.5%.

Posted by on October 5th, 2011 at 10:49 am


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