Goldman’s Earnings

Goldman Sachs (GS) was supposed to report lower earnings today. This was supposed to be the quarter when the party ended for the big Wall Street houses. Well, it didn’t happen. Or at least, it hasn’t happened yet.
Goldman’s earnings blew away the Street’s estimates. The company earned $6.67 a share compared with $5.08 a share last year. That’s just amazing. Let me put that into context for you. Wall Street was looking for a decline to $4.89 a share. In fact, the highest estimate of any analyst was for $5.60 a share. Goldman still beat that by more than a dollar. This is the seventh straight quarter that Goldman has beaten earnings.
After the company reported earnings two quarters ago, the stock rose for 12 straight days. On the 13th day, it fell by a penny a share. Then it continued to rise for 12 of the next fourteen days.
Here’s a look at how the Big Five firms on Wall Street have done over the past four years:
Brokers2.gif
Notice how all the stocks started to take a hit recently. Investors were clearly bracing themselves for bad news. Also, Guy Moszkowski, a high-profile analyst at Merrill Lynch, recently downgraded several stocks in the sector.
(You can also see why investors were so unhappy with Phil Purcell at Morgan.)
Goldman is now going for about 10 times next year’s earnings. Lehman (LEH) reports tomorrow.

Posted by on March 13th, 2007 at 10:00 am


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