The Golden State Fizzles

California is not in good shape:

California’s unemployment rate will soar to between 12 percent and 15 percent by next spring and remain in the double digits until at least the beginning of 2012, according to forecasts released by two teams of University of California economists.
The state’s unemployment rate has not reached those heights since the Great Depression.
The projections – one released today by UCLA’s Anderson Forecast, the other last week by UC Santa Barbara’s Economic Forecast – paint a grim picture of declining economic growth, lower retail sales, a troubled housing market and falling office prices lasting through much of 2010.
“It looks like it will be a nasty recession, but not a depression, although the possibility that we could get to a depression has increased,” said Dan Hamilton, director of the UCSB forecast. “Every month and every quarter that goes by is noticeably worse than the month or quarter that went before.”

Posted by on March 29th, 2009 at 7:18 pm


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